Last updated September 30, 2025

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Steve Creaser 9 39 75.0% 1 30.7 1
2 Matt McEwan 8 39 66.7% 2 28.7 2
3 Karl Loiseau 7 39 58.3% 3 26.5 5
3 Andrew Batchelor 7 39 58.3% 3 27.3 3
5 Andrew Moeller 6 39 50.0% 5 26.7 4
5 Mike Thorne 6 39 50.0% 5 25.8 6
5 Luke Phelan 6 39 50.0% 5 23.5 8
8 Nick Boucher 5 39 41.7% 8 23.0 10
8 Matt Hogel 5 39 41.7% 8 24.1 7
10 Dan Ellenberger 4 39 33.3% 10 23.5 8

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins
Next
Opponent
Win Probability
in Next Game
Steve Creaser
Philadelphia Eagles 4 11.8 DEN 0.66
Indianapolis Colts 3 9.9 LV 0.72
New England Patriots 2 9.0 BUF 0.23
Matt McEwan
Buffalo Bills 4 12.4 NE 0.77
Seattle Seahawks 3 9.7 TB 0.61
Las Vegas Raiders 1 6.6 IND 0.28
Andrew Batchelor
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 9.6 KC 0.38
Denver Broncos 2 9.0 PHI 0.34
Washington Commanders 2 8.7 LAC 0.41
Karl Loiseau
Los Angeles Rams 3 10.4 SF 0.69
Arizona Cardinals 2 8.1 TEN 0.77
Chicago Bears 2 8.0 –
Andrew Moeller
Detroit Lions 3 11.1 CIN 0.81
Atlanta Falcons 2 8.3 –
Dallas Cowboys 1 7.3 NYJ 0.61
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 3 9.7 –
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 10.0 SEA 0.39
Tennessee Titans 0 3.8 ARI 0.23
Mike Thorne
Los Angeles Chargers 3 10.6 WAS 0.59
Green Bay Packers 2 9.9 –
New York Giants 1 5.3 NO 0.45
Matt Hogel
San Francisco 49ers 3 10.5 LA 0.31
Houston Texans 1 7.1 BAL 0.38
Miami Dolphins 1 6.5 CAR 0.45
Nick Boucher
Cincinnati Bengals 2 6.5 DET 0.19
Kansas City Chiefs 2 10.2 JAX 0.62
Cleveland Browns 1 6.3 MIN 0.34
Dan Ellenberger
Minnesota Vikings 2 7.8 CLE 0.66
Baltimore Ravens 1 9.5 HOU 0.62
Carolina Panthers 1 6.2 MIA 0.55

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot
Expected
Wins
Performance vs.
Expectation
Better
Choices
Steve Creaser
Philadelphia Eagles 4 4 3 1 0
New England Patriots 2 18 2 0 2
Indianapolis Colts 3 25 1 2 0
Matt McEwan
Buffalo Bills 4 1 4 0 0
Seattle Seahawks 3 20 2 1 0
Las Vegas Raiders 1 27 1 0 0
Karl Loiseau
Los Angeles Rams 3 8 3 0 0
Arizona Cardinals 2 17 2 0 3
Chicago Bears 2 21 2 0 2
Andrew Batchelor
Denver Broncos 2 9 3 -1 5
Washington Commanders 2 14 2 0 2
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 23 1 2 0
Andrew Moeller
Detroit Lions 3 6 3 0 0
Dallas Cowboys 1 19 2 -1 4
Atlanta Falcons 2 22 1 1 2
Mike Thorne
Green Bay Packers 2 7 3 -1 6
Los Angeles Chargers 3 11 3 0 0
New York Giants 1 28 1 0 0
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 3 10 3 0 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 12 2 1 0
Tennessee Titans 0 24 1 -1 6
Nick Boucher
Kansas City Chiefs 2 3 3 -1 10
Cincinnati Bengals 2 13 2 0 3
Cleveland Browns 1 30 0 1 0
Matt Hogel
San Francisco 49ers 3 5 3 0 0
Houston Texans 1 15 2 -1 8
Miami Dolphins 1 26 1 0 0
Dan Ellenberger
Baltimore Ravens 1 2 4 -3 19
Minnesota Vikings 2 16 2 0 3
Carolina Panthers 1 29 1 0 0

Draft Results